New California credentials stagnated at about 11,500 per year while estimated annual hires exceeded 20,000, so demand far outpaced supply¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2022: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Between 2013–14 and 2015–16 preliminary credentials stagnated at about 11,500 annually while district-estimated hires exceeded 22,300 in 2016–17. → Carver-Thomas 2017 q2 i? Teacher preparation enrollment in 2014–15 (20,881 candidates) was just one quarter of the 2001–02 level of 77,705. → Carver-Thomas 2017

Evidence¶

Carver-Thomas 2017¶

Carver-Thomas, D. & Darling-Hammond, L. (2017). Addressing California's growing teacher shortage: 2017 update. Palo Alto, CA: Learning Policy Institute. https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/product/ca-teacher-shortage-2017-update

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Analysis of CTC credential data and California Department of Education hire estimates (Figure 4). The report also states new credentials "have remained constant at 11,500 since 2013–14, while projected annual new hires have grown and now exceed 20,000." Enrollment figures come from Figure 2: 77,705 in 2001–02 versus 20,881 in 2014–15.

"Between 2013–14 and 2015–16, California preliminary credentials issued by the Commission on Teacher Credentialing stagnated at about 11,500 each year (see Figure 4). Meanwhile, district-estimated teacher hires continued to grow, exceeding 22,300 estimated hires in 2016–17."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

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