Elementary students in the On-Track category graduated high school at more than twice the rate and enrolled in college at more than four times the rate of students in the Intensive Support category¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2025: tool and model accuracy changes quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Students in grades 3-8 in the On-Track category graduated high school at 93 percent versus 39 percent for Intensive Support students, and enrolled in college at 72 percent versus 16 percent. → Seeskin 2022

Evidence¶

Seeskin 2022¶

Seeskin, A., Massion, T., and Usher, A. (2022). Elementary on-track: Elementary school students' grades, attendance, and future outcomes. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/middle-grades-network-improvement-community

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Observational analysis of CPS students in grades 3-8 from the 2010-11 school year (N=93,617 across Figures 8-9), linking end-of-year GPA and attendance categories to four-year high school graduation and immediate college enrollment. The report states students in the On-Track category graduated "at over twice the rate of students in the Intensive Support category."

"students in grades 3-8 in the On-Track category graduated high school at over twice the rate of students in the Intensive Support category (93 percent vs. 39 percent) and enrolled in college at over four times the rate of students in the Intensive Support category (72 percent vs. 16 percent)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• More than one-half of Intensive Support students did not graduate high school in four years and more than 80 percent did not enroll directly in college — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Students in higher CPS EOT categories had progressively higher rates of high school graduation and college enrollment — related
• Elementary students with 90%+ attendance and GPA 3.0+ in grades 3-8 were more likely to graduate high school with a 3.0+ GPA than peers in other EOT categories — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)