Students in higher CPS EOT categories had progressively higher rates of high school graduation and college enrollment¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Students in the CPS EOT On-Track category graduated high school at almost three times the rate of students who were off-track (93 percent vs. 34 percent) and were at least twice as likely to graduate with a 3.0 GPA or enroll in a four-year college. → Seeskin 2022

Evidence¶

Seeskin 2022¶

Seeskin, A., Massion, T., and Usher, A. (2022). Elementary on-track: Elementary school students' grades, attendance, and future outcomes. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/middle-grades-network-improvement-community

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Observational analysis (Figures B.1 and B.2) of students in grades 3-8 from school year 2010-11 (N=93,617), connecting the five-level CPS EOT categories to high school graduation and immediate college enrollment as a comparison to the Condensed EOT analysis. The printed college enrollment percentages appear reversed in the report text relative to the figure labels.

"Students in the CPS EOT On-Track category graduated high school at almost three times the rate of students who were off-track (93 percent vs. 34 percent) and enrolled in college at five times the rate of students who were off-track (14 percent vs. 70 percent)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Elementary students in the On-Track category graduated high school at more than twice the rate and enrolled in college at more than four times the rate of students in the Intensive Support category — related
• More than one-half of Intensive Support students did not graduate high school in four years and more than 80 percent did not enroll directly in college — related
• Academic Support students, who attended regularly but earned below a 3.0 GPA, made up nearly 40 percent of students and saw academic struggles persist beyond the middle grades — related
• Attendance Support students maintained a 3.0 GPA despite low attendance but graduated high school at 71 percent, below the district average, and fewer than half attended college — related
• Elementary students with 90%+ attendance and GPA 3.0+ in grades 3-8 were more likely to graduate high school with a 3.0+ GPA than peers in other EOT categories — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• CPS graduates' grades predicted college enrollment: graduates needed at least a 2.5 GPA for close to a 50 percent likelihood of enrolling in a four-year college — related
• Ten percent of CPS graduates who did not enroll in college within six years had an average high school GPA above 3.0, a missed opportunity for high-achieving students — related