Two-year college retention of CPS first-year students continued to decline in 2020 (66.4% in 2019 vs. 61.9% in 2020)¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The percentage of first-year CPS students at two-year colleges continuing at the same college from spring to fall has been decreasing since 2017, with a slightly accelerated decline in 2020. → Nagaoka 2021
Evidence¶
Nagaoka 2021¶
Nagaoka, J., Mahaffie, S., Usher, A., & Seeskin, A. (2021). College during the pandemic: Immediate enrollment and retention of CPS Graduates in Fall 2020. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/nsc-iccb-technical-report
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Spring-to-fall continuation analysis of first-year CPS graduates enrolled in two-year colleges (Figure 4 takeaways), cohorts 2016–2020. The executive summary reports 66.4 percent in 2019 vs. 61.9 percent in 2020; no statistical tests are reported.
"The percentage of first-year students enrolled in the spring at a two-year college who continued at the same college in the fall has been decreasing since 2017, a trend that accelerated slightly in 2020."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- CPS graduates in four-year colleges were slightly more likely to continue from spring to fall 2020 (80.6%) than in 2019 (79.0%) — related
- CPS class of 2020 graduates were less likely to enroll in two-year colleges (20.0% in 2019 vs. 16.4% in 2020) — related
- Latinx two-year college students' spring-to-fall return rates declined most among race/ethnicity and gender groups in 2020 — related
- Immediate college enrollment declined from 62 percent for the CPS class of 2019 to 58 percent for the class of 2020, driven more by the drop in two-year than four-year enrollment — related
- Immediate college enrollment among 2021 CPS graduates was 58.6%, with four-year enrollment recovering to pre-pandemic levels while two-year enrollment fell to 15.6% — related
- Fall 2020 CPS enrollment changes showed no clear pattern by colleges' reopening models
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
cps-2020-two-year-retention-declined |
title |
Two-year college retention of CPS first-year students continued to decline in 2020 (66.4% in 2019 vs. 61.9% in 2020) |
description |
Two-year college retention of CPS first-year students continued to decline in 2020 (66.4% in 2019 vs. |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2021 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — nagaoka-2021 |
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