Latinx two-year college students' spring-to-fall return rates declined most among race/ethnicity and gender groups in 2020¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Among spring two-year college students, Latinx students' fall return rates declined most, while Black young men's rate increased slightly but remained low at 52.5 percent. → Nagaoka 2021

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2021¶

Nagaoka, J., Mahaffie, S., Usher, A., & Seeskin, A. (2021). College during the pandemic: Immediate enrollment and retention of CPS Graduates in Fall 2020. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/nsc-iccb-technical-report

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive disaggregation of spring-to-fall return rates by race/ethnicity and gender for two-year college students (Table 8 takeaways). Rates for Asian/Pacific Islander students were suppressed due to low numbers; no statistical tests reported.

"Among spring two-year college students, Latinx students’ rates of returning to college in the fall declined most, falling from 66.0 percent in 2019 to 59.0 percent in 2020 for Latino young men, and from 74.9 percent in 2019 to 68.2 percent in 2020 for Latina young women."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Race and Ethnicity — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause

Related Claims¶

• Two-year enrollment declines were concentrated among Black and Latinx CPS graduates, while four-year rates held steady for these groups — related
• Two-year college retention of CPS first-year students continued to decline in 2020 (66.4% in 2019 vs. 61.9% in 2020) — related
• Fall 2020 CPS enrollment changes showed no clear pattern by colleges' reopening models
• Spring first-time college enrollees differ from fall enrollees in race/ethnicity, gender, and high school GPA, but the impact on group enrollment rates is small — related
• Young women were more likely than young men to both immediately enroll in and persist through college, in both four-year and two-year colleges — related