Few CPS graduates who delay college entry or first enroll in a two-year college go on to earn a four-year degree¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r1 · q2
Currency · newest study 2016 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Six years after high school graduation, 8 percent of students who immediately enrolled in a two-year college and 4 percent of students who did not immediately enroll had earned a four-year degree, compared to 50 percent of immediate four-year college enrollees. → Nagaoka 2016

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2016¶

Nagaoka, J., & Healey, K. (2016). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2015: A focus on four-year college degrees. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. http://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/educational-attainment-chicago-public-schools-students-2015-focus-four-year-college

q2 · i? · associational · r1

Observational comparison of CPS graduation cohorts' outcomes six years after high school, by immediate postsecondary pathway. The brief reports large descriptive gaps between the named groups; these are pathway-group percentages with no standardized effect size printed, so impact is null.

"just 8 percent of students who immediately en- rolled in a two-year college and just 4 percent of students who did not immediately enroll in college have earned a four-year college degree, compared to 50 percent of students who enrolled in a four-year college immediately after high school graduation."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in college, 46% completed a credential within six years, with large gaps by enrollment pathway — related
• Four-year college graduation rates remained flat at about 49 percent for direct four-year enrollees, with much lower rates for two-year (8 percent) and delayed enrollees (4 percent) — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Delaying college enrollment was associated with low completion: only 8 percent of CPS students who delayed completed a degree or credential within six years — related
• Six-year college completion among the CPS class of 2015 varied sharply by enrollment pathway: 55.8% for immediate four-year enrollees, 32.5% for immediate two-year enrollees, and 7.8% for delayed/non-enrollees — related
• Immediate four-year enrollees were far more likely than immediate two-year enrollees to complete a four-year degree within six years (48 percent vs 7 percent) — related
• OneGoal students are 40% more likely to earn postsecondary degrees than students from similar backgrounds, per a University of Chicago study — related
• Among the CPS class of 2009, 76 percent enrolled in college within six years, and delayed entry was concentrated among two-year starters rather than four-year starters
• CPS graduates took more than 6,000 distinct post-secondary paths, so continuous enrollment at one college was not the standard route to a credential — related
• Students who enroll in developmental education courses attain degrees at lower rates than comparable entrants who do not — related