Immediate four-year enrollees were far more likely than immediate two-year enrollees to complete a four-year degree within six years (48 percent vs 7 percent)¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2026: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Students who immediately enrolled in a four-year college were far more likely to complete a four-year degree in six years than students who immediately enrolled in a two-year college. → Nagaoka 2021

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2021¶

Nagaoka, J., Lee, J.S., Usher, A., & Seeskin, A. (2021). Navigating the maze: Understanding CPS graduates' paths through college. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/navigating-the-maze

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Observational comparison of immediate four-year versus immediate two-year enrollees among approximately 63,000 CPS graduates tracked six years. Completion was "48 percent compared to 7 percent"; no standardized effect size is reported.

"Students who immediately enrolled in a four -year college were far more likely to complete a four-year degree in six years: 48 percent compared to 7 percent for students who immediately enrolled in a two-year college."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in college, 46% completed a credential within six years, with large gaps by enrollment pathway — related
• CPS graduates took more than 6,000 distinct post-secondary paths, so continuous enrollment at one college was not the standard route to a credential — related
• Four-year to two-year transfer was more common than two-year to four-year transfer among CPS graduates (29 percent vs 22 percent) — related
• Four-year college graduation rates remained flat at about 49 percent for direct four-year enrollees, with much lower rates for two-year (8 percent) and delayed enrollees (4 percent) — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Six-year college completion among the CPS class of 2015 varied sharply by enrollment pathway: 55.8% for immediate four-year enrollees, 32.5% for immediate two-year enrollees, and 7.8% for delayed/non-enrollees — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Six-year college completion rates for immediate four-year enrollees rose from 54 to 56 percent for the CPS class of 2013, double the rate for immediate two-year enrollees — related
• CPS alumni college completion (48%) remains below the national average (64%), with 56% of immediate four-year and 32% of immediate two-year enrollees completing within six years — related
• Few CPS graduates who delay college entry or first enroll in a two-year college go on to earn a four-year degree — related
• Among the CPS class of 2009, 76 percent enrolled in college within six years, and delayed entry was concentrated among two-year starters rather than four-year starters
• CPS graduates' four-year college graduation rate remained roughly constant over seven years (46 to 48 percent) and well below the national rate — related
• CPS four-year completion rates rose 7 percentage points over ten years while enrollees nearly doubled, but remained far below six-year rates — related
• College Track completers enrolled in college at higher rates than similar students, and were much more likely to enroll in four-year colleges — related