Only recent (within the past year) occurrences of dropout in an adolescent's network are associated with the adolescent's own dropout; older occurrences are not¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r2 · q2–q3
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i? In Model 4, only occurrences of dropout in one's network within the past year predicted participants' dropout (OR = 3.11, 95% CI 1.78-6.27). → Dupéré 2021 q3 i? Bivariately, proportions were not significantly different between cases and controls for occurrences of dropout dating back more than a year. → Dupéré 2021 (2)

Evidence¶

Dupéré 2021¶

Dupéré, V., Dion, E., Cantin, S., Archambault, I., & Lacourse, E. (2021). Social contagion and high school dropout: The role of friends, romantic partners, and siblings. Journal of Educational Psychology, 113, 572-584. https://doi.org/10.1037/edu0000484

q3 · i? · associational · r2

Model 4 of the logistic regressions on cases and matched controls (n = 366) used a five-level recency variable. The article states "only recent (within the past year) occurrences of dropout in one's network predicted dropout among participants (OR = 3.11; 95% CI 1.78-6.27)"; no standardized effect size was printed.

"in Model 4, only recent (within the past year) occurrences of dropout in one's network predicted dropout among participants (OR = 3.11; 95% CI 1.78-6.27)"

Dupéré 2021 (2)¶

Dupéré, V., Dion, E., Cantin, S., Archambault, I., & Lacourse, E. (2021). Social contagion and high school dropout: The role of friends, romantic partners, and siblings. Journal of Educational Psychology, 113, 572-584. https://doi.org/10.1037/edu0000484

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Bivariate comparisons (Table 2) showed cases reported more recent network dropout, while "the proportions were not significantly different for occurrences of dropout dating back more than a year"; equivalence was not tested.

"dropout cases reported more occurrences of recent (within the past year) dropout in their network than matched or contrasted controls. In contrast, the proportions were not significantly different for occurrences of dropout dating back more than a year"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Adolescents are at greater risk of dropping out when at least one same-age intimate (friend, romantic partner, or sibling) has recently dropped out of school — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Risk of dropout is especially high when an adolescent's network includes more than one type of same-age intimate who recently dropped out — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Dropout among friends, romantic partners, and siblings each shows an independent association with an adolescent's own dropout — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• The association between network dropout and adolescents' own dropout does not significantly differ by gender or by regular versus special education sector — related
• The main dropout-contagion findings remained essentially unchanged across five robustness checks including unmatched samples, IPTW, and conditional regression — related