High school enrollment declined most in grades nine and ten, by about 15 percent between 1995-96 and 1998-99¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2002 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Ninth- and tenth-grade enrollment each declined about 15 percent between 1995-96 and 1998-99, with smaller declines in grades eleven and twelve. → Elaine M. Allensworth & Shazia Rafiullah Miller 2002

Evidence¶

Elaine M. Allensworth & Shazia Rafiullah Miller 2002¶

Elaine M. Allensworth & Shazia Rafiullah Miller. (2002). Declining High School Enrollment: An Exploration of Causes. Consortium on Chicago School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/declining-high-school-enrollment-exploration-causes

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Grade-level enrollment trend analysis (Section I, Figure 3). Some ninth-grade loss came from low achievers entering APCs under the promotion gate; the report notes 1999-00 rises occurred "only be- cause of a policy change to reclassify all previously ungraded special education students."

"High school enrollment decreased most in grades nine and ten, declining by about 15 percent between 1995–96 and 1998–99 (see Figure 3)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Chicago public high school enrollment fell 11.5 percent between fall 1995-96 and fall 1999-00 — related
• After controlling for demographic changes and school enrollment patterns, the postpolicy decline in dropout rates appears slightly smaller, and the report urges caution in attributing trends to the gate — related
• The eighth-grade promotion gate had the largest impact on ninth-grade enrollment, with almost 2,900 fewer students advancing in fall 1998 — related
• Probation schools experienced the sharpest enrollment decline, averaging 20.6 percent, versus 10.4 percent for neighborhood schools — related
• Some observers attributed the relative decline in secondary science registrations to the disciplinary teaching attitude, while the Committee of Ten did not emphasize the informational side — related