For prediction judgments on factual questions, males and learners with lower WMC and lower topic knowledge, but higher self-perceived topic knowledge and self-perceived metacomprehension ability, showed stronger overestimation¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Males, lower WMC, and lower topic knowledge were associated with stronger overestimations, while higher self-perceived topic knowledge and self-perceived metacomprehension ability were also associated with stronger overestimations, contrary to expectations. → Stefanie Golke 2022
Evidence¶
Stefanie Golke 2022¶
Stefanie Golke, Tim Steininger, & Jörg Wittwer. (2022). What Makes Learners Overestimate Their Text Comprehension? The Impact of Learner Characteristics on Judgment Bias. Educational Psychology Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10648-022-09687-0
q3 · i? · associational · r2
Figure 1 plots of significant predictors showed the direction of effects on prediction bias for factual questions: "males, lower WMC, and lower topic knowledge" and, contrary to expectations, higher self-perceived topic knowledge and metacomprehension ability "were associated with stronger overestimations."
"in line with expectations, males, lower WMC, and lower topic knowledge, and, contrary to expectations, higher self-perceived topic knowledge and self-perceived metacomprehension ability were associated with stronger overestimations while their counterparts showed hardly any overestimation"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Effects of gender and self-perceived metacomprehension ability on bias arose mainly from judgment magnitude, whereas WMC and topic knowledge also affected performance — related
- For postdiction bias on factual questions, underestimation was prevalent for females, higher reading skill, and lower self-perceived topic knowledge and metacomprehension ability — related
- For inference questions, lower reading skill, higher self-efficacy, and higher self-reported monitoring strategies were associated with stronger overestimation, with openness associated only for predictions — related
- Working memory capacity predicts monitoring accuracy after a single reading but not after rereading, independently of comprehension ability (Experiment 2) — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
factual-prediction-bias-predictors |
title |
For prediction judgments on factual questions, males and learners with lower WMC and lower topic knowledge, but higher self-perceived topic knowledge and self-perceived metacomprehension ability, showed stronger overestimation |
description |
For prediction judgments on factual questions, males and learners with lower WMC and lower topic knowledge, but higher self-perceived topic knowledge and self-perceived metacomprehension ability, showed stronger overe... |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2022 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-22 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — stefanie-golke-2022 |
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