Non-linear (Goldilocks) effects of expectations and aspirations on outcomes are small and largely non-significant¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q3 · i0 negligible
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i0 Quadratic tests of expectations and aspirations find the inverted-U Goldilocks pattern is not supported; non-linear effects are small and largely non-significant. → Herbert W. Marsh 2023

Evidence¶

Herbert W. Marsh 2023¶

Herbert W. Marsh, Reinhard Pekrun, Jiesi Guo, John Hattie, Eyal Karin. (2023). Too Much of a Good Thing Might Be Bad: the Double-Edged Sword of Parental Aspirations and the Adverse Effects of Aspiration-Expectation Gaps. Educational Psychology Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10648-023-09768-8

q3 · i0 · associational · r2

Supplemental SEM (Model 4) testing quadratic effects of zero-mean-centered expectations and aspirations in the ELS:2002 sample; the study reports non-linear effects were "small and largely non-significant". No effect size is printed, so impact is coded as a negligible printed magnitude.

"Contrary to our proposed Goldilocks Effect (not too much, not too little, but just right), non-linear effects of expectations and aspirations were small and largely non-significant."

Discussion¶

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