Claims

For college students who can choose between online and in-person sections, taking a course online lowers grades both in that course and in future courses

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causal r? · q3
Currency · newest study 2017 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i? For students with access to both online and in-person options, grades are lower for the course taken online relative to in-person, and lower in future courses as well; the estimates may not apply to students for whom online courses are the only option. → Eric P. Bettinger 2017

Evidence

Eric P. Bettinger 2017

Eric P. Bettinger, Lindsay Fox, Susanna Loeb, Eric S. Taylor. (2017). Virtual Classrooms: How Online College Courses Affect Student Success. American Economic Review, vol. 107, no. 9. https://www.mathematica.org/publications/virtual-classrooms-how-online-college-courses-affect-student-success

q3 · i? · causal · r?

The key findings state that "Grades are lower both for the course taken online and in future courses," indicating the online format penalty carries over into subsequent coursework. The instrumental-variables estimates are, in the authors' words, "local average treatment effects for students with access to both online and in-person options; for other students, online classes may be the only option for accessing college-level courses." No statistics are printed on this page.

"Grades are lower both for the course taken online and in future courses."

Studies bearing on this claim

Do learners do as well, and stay as long, in a fully online course as in the same course face to face? This table gathers the studies behind this claim and the 7 narrower claims that bear on it: 5 distinct studies (2 associational, 2 quant-synthesis, 1 causal), q2–q3, 2 of 5 with an effect size coded. One row per study, codes as each entry records them; no effect is averaged and no verdict is drawn. Built by scripts/synthesize_claim.py from eval/synthesis/; a row that looks wrong is fixed on the claim it comes from.

Study Design Effect as recorded Bears on this claim through
Eric P. Bettinger 2017 q3 · causal · r? i? this claim
Jia Frydenberg 2007 q2 · associational · r1 i? Online continuing education courses show lower persistence than comparable onground course (supports); Online attrition during Orientation Week is twice that of onground classes' first week (qualifies); After instruction has begun, drop rates are essentially the same in online and onground co (qualifies); Self-reported withdrawal reasons are largely similar online and onground, led by no/other (qualifies); Expressed dissatisfaction with online technology, instruction, or content is not the prima (qualifies)
Means et al. 2013 q3 · quant-synthesis · r? i2 · medium effect, g+=0.35, p<.0001 Blended Learning Improves Outcomes (qualifies)
Means 2009 q3 · quant-synthesis · r2 i1 Blended Learning Improves Outcomes (qualifies)
Steven S. Christensen & Jonathan S. Spackman 2016 q2 · associational · r1 i? A single Tipping Point explains dropout patterns in only about a quarter of online courses (qualifies)

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id online-course-lower-grades-current-and-future
title For college students who can choose between online and in-person sections, taking a course online lowers grades both in that course and in future courses
description For college students who can choose between online and in-person sections, taking a course online lowers grades both in that course and in future courses
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2017
source_checked 2026-10-20
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — eric-p-bettinger-2017

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