Claims

Learners are substantially overconfident when evaluating the quality of their self-generated examples

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 2 studies · 2 causal r2–r3 · q2–q3 · i3 large
Currency · newest study 2023 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 2 of 2 entries) · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i3 University students showed substantial overconfidence (mean bias 22.9%) and inaccuracy (absolute accuracy 32.4%) in evaluating their self-generated examples. → Linda Froese 2022

q2 i? Learners overestimate the quality of their self-generated examples relative to expert ratings, especially for poor examples. → Linda Froese 2023

Evidence

Linda Froese 2022

Linda Froese, Julian Roelle. (2022). Expert example standards but not idea unit standards help learners accurately evaluate the quality of self-generated examples. Metacognition and Learning. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-022-09293-z

q3 · i3 · causal · r3

In the 2×2 factorial experiment (N = 131 university students), all learners generated examples for eight declarative concepts and rated them no/partial/full credit. The article reports "a mean bias of 22.9%" significantly greater than zero, d = 1.20, and overall absolute accuracy of 32.4%.

"Overall, they were overconfident with a mean bias of 22.9% (SD = 19.1%), which was significantly greater than zero, t(130) = 13.75, p < .001, d = 1.20."

Linda Froese 2023

Linda Froese, Julian Roelle. (2023). Expert example but not negative example standards help learners accurately evaluate the quality of self-generated examples. Metacognition and Learning. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-023-09347-w

q2 · i? · causal · r2

In the present experiment's descriptive results, even learners provided with expert example standards overestimated examples rated 0% by experts by ca. 57%, replicating the substantial overconfidence pattern reported by Froese and Roelle (2022) and Zamary et al. (2016).

"Notably, like in Froese and Roelle (2022), the expert example standards did not yield fully accurate judgments. For instance, the learners still overestimated their poor examples, which were credited with 0% by the expert raters, by ca. 57%."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id overconfidence-evaluating-self-generated-examples
aliases overconfidence-judging-self-generated-examples
title Learners are substantially overconfident when evaluating the quality of their self-generated examples
description Learners are substantially overconfident when evaluating the quality of their self-generated examples
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2023
source_checked 2026-10-20
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-18
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 2 — linda-froese-2022, linda-froese-2023

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