Teachers' persistent grade effects predict students' long-term outcomes¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2025 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Having a ninth-grade teacher one SD above the mean on persistent effects is associated with 0.129 more AP courses, ACT scores 0.172 points higher, graduating core GPA 0.140 points higher, and a 1.4 percentage point increase in graduation probability. → McKenzie 2025
Evidence¶
McKenzie 2025¶
McKenzie, R. & Allensworth, E. (2025). Variability in the Grades Teachers Give: Teacher Grade Value-Add, Mismatch, and Long-Term Effects. American Educational Research Journal. https://doi.org/10.3102/00028312251345094
q3 · i? · associational · r2
Regressions of residualized long-term outcomes on jackknife teacher persistent effects, pooling four subjects, in the CPS long-term outcome sub-sample. All outcomes show "positive and significant coefficients associated with teachers' persistent effects."
"Having one ninth-grade teacher one standard deviation above the mean on persistent effects is associated with taking a slightly higher number of AP courses in eleventh and twelfth grade (an additional 0.129 courses), eleventh grade ACT scores that are 0.172 points higher, a graduating core GPA that is 0.140 points higher, and a 1.4 percentage point increase in the probability of graduating."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Long-term effects of grading mismatch are smaller and more nuanced than those of persistent effects — related
- Teacher grade effects show spillovers to students' broader ninth-grade outcomes — related
- Ninth-grade teachers vary substantially and systematically in the grades they give — related
- Ninth-grade GPA predicts beginning-of-tenth-grade PLAN scores even after controlling for eighth-grade test scores, suggesting grades reflect new learning — related
- Grading mismatch correlates negatively with persistent effects, and total effects reflect mismatch more than persistent effects — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
persistent-grade-effects-predict-long-term-outcomes |
title |
Teachers' persistent grade effects predict students' long-term outcomes |
description |
Teachers' persistent grade effects predict students' long-term outcomes |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2025 |
source_checked |
2026-10-20 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-08 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — mckenzie-2025 |
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