Ninth-grade GPA predicts beginning-of-tenth-grade PLAN scores even after controlling for eighth-grade test scores, suggesting grades reflect new learning¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r3 · q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Controlling for eighth-grade ISAT scores and other factors, A students scored 1.20 PLAN points above average and F students 1.85 points below, a statistically significant association. → Easton 2017

Evidence¶

Easton 2017¶

Easton, J.Q., Johnson, E., & Sartain, L. (2017). The predictive power of ninth-grade GPA. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/predictive-power-ninth-grade-gpa

q2 · i? · associational · r3

Regression analysis of 2011-13 cohorts taking fall tenth-grade PLAN, using the same controls and fixed effects as the outcome models plus eighth-grade ISAT scores. The article reports "a statistically significant association" with these adjusted PLAN-point differences, unadjusted means ranging from 21.3 (A) to 11.8 (F).

"Given their eighth-grade test scores, A students scored 1.20 points higher on the PLAN than average students. B students scored 0.25 points more than average. In contrast, C, D, and F students scored lower than average, by 0.46, 1.14, and 1.85 points, respectively."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

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