Global predictions rely on domain-specific self-concept but not on test performance, unlike postdictions¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? In Study 2, predictions were explained only by motivational variables, with stronger effects for domain-specific than academic self-concept. → Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020 q2 i? Test performance was of higher relevance for postdictions than for predictions, partly confirming Hypothesis 3. → Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020 (2)

Evidence¶

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020¶

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel (2020). Individual differences in local and global metacognitive judgments. Metacognition and Learning (2020) 15:51–75. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-020-09220-0

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Study 2 hierarchical regression on global predictions one week before the psychology exam. The article reports the judgment "relied mostly on domain-specific self-concept" and that "Test performance itself had no predictive power for predictions."

"When students had not yet processed the task, their judgment relied mostly on domain-specific self-concept. Test performance itself had no predictive power for predictions."

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020 (2)¶

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel (2020). Individual differences in local and global metacognitive judgments. Metacognition and Learning (2020) 15:51–75. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-020-09220-0

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Study 2 general linear mixed model comparing regression coefficients between pre- and postdictions. The article reports "test performance was of higher relevance for postdictions than for predictions (p < .001)", partly confirming Hypothesis 3; direct comparisons of self-concept betas were not significant.

"Vice versa, however, test performance was of higher relevance for postdictions than for predictions (p < .001). That is, Hypothesis 3 could be partly confirmed."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Academic Self-Concept — predictor: learners who differ on it differ in outcomes

Related Claims¶

• Domain-specific self-concept consistently predicts metacognitive judgments and accuracy: higher self-concept means higher judgments, higher sensitivity, lower specificity, and more overconfidence — related
• Domain-specific self-concept relates more strongly to global than to local postdicted judgments, while most other motivational and personality variables do not differ — related
• Test performance is the strongest predictor of local and global postdicted judgments after test taking — related
• Postdictions of performance are typically more accurate than predictions — related