Test performance is the strongest predictor of local and global postdicted judgments after test taking¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? In Study 1 (N = 245), performance was the strongest predictor of local judgments in the mathematics test. → Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020 q2 i? In Study 2 (N = 138), test performance was again the strongest predictor of global postdictions in the psychology exam. → Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020 (2)

Evidence¶

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020¶

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel (2020). Individual differences in local and global metacognitive judgments. Metacognition and Learning (2020) 15:51–75. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-020-09220-0

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Hierarchical regression analysis of Study 1 local judgments in the mathematics test, with gender, high school grade, and performance in step 1 and motivational/personality variables in step 2. The analysis found "Performance was found to be the strongest predictor for the judgments."

"Performance was found to be the strongest predictor for the judgments."

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel 2020 (2)¶

Marion Händel & Anique B. H. de Bruin & Markus Dresel (2020). Individual differences in local and global metacognitive judgments. Metacognition and Learning (2020) 15:51–75. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-020-09220-0

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Study 2 hierarchical regression on global postdictions in a psychology exam replicated Study 1: "Test performance was again the strongest predictor, followed by domain-specific self-concept". No significant relations with gender or high school grade were found.

"The hierarchical regression analysis to explain variance in the global postdiction replicated the prior results: Test performance was again the strongest predictor, followed by domain-specific self-concept"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Global predictions rely on domain-specific self-concept but not on test performance, unlike postdictions — related
• Domain-specific self-concept consistently predicts metacognitive judgments and accuracy: higher self-concept means higher judgments, higher sensitivity, lower specificity, and more overconfidence — related
• Domain-specific self-concept relates more strongly to global than to local postdicted judgments, while most other motivational and personality variables do not differ — related
• Metacognitive postdiction skills are related to mathematical accuracy throughout the whole elementary school period (Grades 1–6) — related
• Postdictions of performance are typically more accurate than predictions — related