Previous academic performance is the strongest predictor of university GPA, and adding cognitive predictors raises explained variance to about 44–50%¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q3
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i? In Step 2 of the hierarchical regressions, previous AP was the only significant cognitive predictor of GPA in each year, with adjusted R² reaching 0.46–0.50. → Juan-Carlos Pérez-González 2022

Evidence¶

Juan-Carlos Pérez-González 2022¶

Juan-Carlos Pérez-González, Gemma Filella, Anna Soldevila, Yasmine Faiad, Maria-Jose Sanchez-Ruiz. (2022). Integrating self-regulated learning and individual differences in the prediction of university academic achievement across a three-year-long degree. Metacognition and Learning (2022) 17:1141–1165. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-022-09315-w

q3 · i? · associational · r2

Step 2 of the first-year hierarchical regression: previous AP was the only significant cognitive predictor (β = 0.52, p < .001) and the model reached "adjusted R2 = 0.46". Second- and third-year models reached adjusted R² of 0.50 and 0.44, with previous AP β = 0.60 and 0.59.

"In the second step ( F(7, 181) = 23.54, p < .001, adjusted R2 = 0.46), the only significant cognitive predictor was previous AP (β = 0.52, p < .001)"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• A reduced set of non-cognitive factors alone explains 17–25% of the variance in university GPA across three years of a degree
• A latent global non-cognitive factor predicts a latent three-year GPA factor, explaining 27–29% of its variance
• Academic engagement and regulation of behavior and context show incremental validity over cognitive predictors of university GPA — related
• Trait emotional intelligence showed no significant association with university GPA, despite correlating with engagement, SRL strategies and self-efficacy — related