Claims

Children as young as 4 years can reason about their relative confidence by selecting which of two questions they feel most sure of answering

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causal r2 · q3
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i? Children at all age groups selected the easier of two paired trials more than 50% of the time across area, number, and emotion dimensions. → Carolyn Baer 2021

Evidence

Carolyn Baer 2021

Carolyn Baer, Puja Malik, & Darko Odic. (2021). Are children's judgments of another's accuracy linked to their metacognitive confidence judgments? Metacognition and Learning (2021) 16:485–516. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-021-09263-x

q3 · i? · causal · r2

In Experiment 1's Relative Confidence Task (45 trials across area, number, and emotion dimensions), children chose which of two screenshots they wanted to answer, then answered only that question. All age groups selected the easier trial above chance; children choosing the harder option were identified and inverted via a psychophysical model.

"we found that children at all age groups selected the easier trial more than 50% of the time in all three dimensions (see Table 1 for means and tests against chance)."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id relative-confidence-reasoning-age-four
title Children as young as 4 years can reason about their relative confidence by selecting which of two questions they feel most sure of answering
description Children as young as 4 years can reason about their relative confidence by selecting which of two questions they feel most sure of answering
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2021
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-19
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — carolyn-baer-2021

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