Children as young as 4 years can reason about their relative confidence by selecting which of two questions they feel most sure of answering¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causalr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Children at all age groups selected the easier of two paired trials more than 50% of the time across area, number, and emotion dimensions. → Carolyn Baer 2021
Evidence¶
Carolyn Baer 2021¶
Carolyn Baer, Puja Malik, & Darko Odic. (2021). Are children's judgments of another's accuracy linked to their metacognitive confidence judgments? Metacognition and Learning (2021) 16:485–516. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-021-09263-x
q3 · i? · causal · r2
In Experiment 1's Relative Confidence Task (45 trials across area, number, and emotion dimensions), children chose which of two screenshots they wanted to answer, then answered only that question. All age groups selected the easier trial above chance; children choosing the harder option were identified and inverted via a psychophysical model.
"we found that children at all age groups selected the easier trial more than 50% of the time in all three dimensions (see Table 1 for means and tests against chance)."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Children's self-focused confidence reasoning and other-focused accuracy reasoning show no consistent correlation across four studies when mental-state language and response biases are eliminated
- Children do not reliably endorse the more accurate informant when no objective reference is available — related
- Young children maintain correct responses more easily than they withdraw incorrect responses on an L2 vocabulary task — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
relative-confidence-reasoning-age-four |
title |
Children as young as 4 years can reason about their relative confidence by selecting which of two questions they feel most sure of answering |
description |
Children as young as 4 years can reason about their relative confidence by selecting which of two questions they feel most sure of answering |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2021 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-19 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — carolyn-baer-2021 |
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