Underconfidence-with-practice effect: learners overestimate learning after one study trial but underestimate it after repeated restudying¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · reviewr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? Koriat et al. (2002) showed learners overestimate learning after one study trial but underestimate it on second to fourth restudying trials, an effect independent of feedback, pacing, and incentives. → Joachim Wirth 2020
Evidence¶
Joachim Wirth 2020¶
Joachim Wirth, Ferdinand Stebner, Melanie Trypke, Corinna Schuster, & Detlev Leutner. (2020). An Interactive Layers Model of Self-Regulated Learning and Cognitive Load. Educational Psychology Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10648-020-09568-4
q2 · i? · review · r2
Narrative review attributing this to Koriat et al. (2002) on judgments of learning. The review reports the "underconfidence-with-practice" (UWP) effect arises because learning performance increases strongly with restudying while JOLs increase only slightly; no effect size is printed.
"learners overestimate their learning after studying the material once but underestimate their learning when studying the learning material a second, third, or fourth time"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Repeated study–test practice reduces the foresight bias for backward pairs, with the illusion of competence disappearing by the fourth presentation — related
- Learners generally underestimate how fast they will learn word pairs, and this underconfidence is larger for low-variability lists — related
- Calibration of JOLs shifts toward underconfidence across learning cycles for action phrases under both verbal and enactive encoding, without first-cycle overconfidence — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
underconfidence-with-practice-effect-jols |
title |
Underconfidence-with-practice effect: learners overestimate learning after one study trial but underestimate it after repeated restudying |
description |
Underconfidence-with-practice effect: learners overestimate learning after one study trial but underestimate it after repeated restudying |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2020 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-21 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — joachim-wirth-2020 |
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