Significant learner characteristics explained 17% and 14% of variance in prediction bias and 11% and 12% in postdiction bias, so characteristics were slightly more relevant for predictions¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
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q3 i? The statistically significant learner characteristics explained a moderate amount of variance in prediction bias (17% and 14%) and a small amount in postdiction bias (11% and 12%). → Stefanie Golke 2022
Evidence¶
Stefanie Golke 2022¶
Stefanie Golke, Tim Steininger, & Jörg Wittwer. (2022). What Makes Learners Overestimate Their Text Comprehension? The Impact of Learner Characteristics on Judgment Bias. Educational Psychology Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10648-022-09687-0
q3 · i? · associational · r2
Across the four hierarchical regression analyses (prediction/postdiction bias for factual/inference questions) in the N = 255 sample, the article reports the significant characteristics "explained a moderate amount (cf. Cohen, 1988) of 17% and 14% of variance in the measures of prediction bias."
"the statistically significant learner characteristics explained a moderate amount (cf. Cohen, 1988) of 17% and 14% of variance in the measures of prediction bias and a small amount of 11% and 12% of variance in the postdiction bias measures"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- For postdiction bias on factual questions, underestimation was prevalent for females, higher reading skill, and lower self-perceived topic knowledge and metacomprehension ability — related
- For inference questions, lower reading skill, higher self-efficacy, and higher self-reported monitoring strategies were associated with stronger overestimation, with openness associated only for predictions — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
variance-explained-judgment-bias |
title |
Significant learner characteristics explained 17% and 14% of variance in prediction bias and 11% and 12% in postdiction bias, so characteristics were slightly more relevant for predictions |
description |
Significant learner characteristics explained 17% and 14% of variance in prediction bias and 11% and 12% in postdiction bias, so characteristics were slightly more relevant for predictions |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2022 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-22 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — stefanie-golke-2022 |
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