71 percent of CCSD 8th graders were on track for graduation at the end of 9th grade in 2015/16¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2016 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2019: local conditions change quickly
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Among 22,335 CCSD students who were 8th graders in 2014/15, 71 percent were on track and 29 percent off track at the end of 9th grade. → Snipes 2016
Evidence¶
Snipes 2016¶
Snipes, J., & Tran, L. (2016). Early indicators and academic mindsets in the Clark County School District. San Francisco, CA: REL West @ WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED573499
q3 · i? · associational · r2
Descriptive analysis of CCSD administrative records for the 2014/15 8th grade cohort followed into 9th grade in 2015/16. The report states "71 percent of CCSD students" were on track, with N = 15,865 on track and N = 6,470 off track (sample size = 22,335).
"71 percent of CCSD students who had been 8th graders in school year 2014/15 were on track for high school graduation at the end of 9th grade, while 29 percent of these students were off track for graduation by this point in time."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- 8th grade growth mindset and academic behavior self-reports positively predicted 9th grade on-track status; performance avoidance did not — related
- CPS graduation rates increased by 22.4 percentage points over 16 years, from 52.4 percent among students who turned 19 in 1998 to 74.8 percent in 2014 — related
- Students on track in ninth grade were four times more likely than off-track peers to graduate high school — related
- Gains in sophomore performance were unequal: about one in five Latino and Black young men were off-track at the end of sophomore year — related
- Ninth-graders who are on-track are 3.5 times more likely to graduate than those who are off-track — related
- Growth in self-management between 6th and 8th grade predicts being off track academically in 9th grade above and beyond 6th-grade self-management status — related
- In a large urban district, 6th-grade SEL status is more frequently a significant predictor of being off track academically in 9th grade than SEL growth between 6th and 8th grade — related
- Predicted probability of 9th grade on-track status varied substantially across the growth-mindset and academic-behavior scales — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
ccsd-71-percent-on-track-end-of-9th-grade |
title |
71 percent of CCSD 8th graders were on track for graduation at the end of 9th grade in 2015/16 |
description |
71 percent of CCSD 8th graders were on track for graduation at the end of 9th grade in 2015/16 |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2016 |
recheck_by |
2019 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — snipes-2016 |
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