Gains in sophomore performance were unequal: about one in five Latino and Black young men were off-track at the end of sophomore year¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2025: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? In the 2016-17 freshman cohort, 21 percent of Latino young men and 22 percent of Black young men were off-track at the end of sophomore year, and only 30 and 20 percent respectively earned a GPA of 3.0 or higher. → Seeskin 2020

Evidence¶

Seeskin 2020¶

Seeskin, A., Mahaffie, S., & Usher, A. (2020). The forgotten year: Applying lessons from Freshman success to Sophomore year. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/the-forgotten-year

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Disaggregated cohort analysis (Figure 16) shows sophomore gains "have not been experienced equally by all groups of students": "21 percent of Latino young men and 22 percent of Black young men" were off-track, and only 30 and 20 percent respectively earned a 3.0 or higher GPA.

"21 percent of Latino young men and 22 percent of Black young men in the 2016–17 freshman cohort were off-track at the end of sophomore year"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

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• Freshman OnTrack rates improved most among the highest-risk students, including Black and Latinx young men and the lowest-achieving entrants — related
• Patterns of GPA decline varied widely across high schools, suggesting school environment plays an important role in the transition — related
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• At-risk identification is demographically patterned, with Black, Hispanic, and male students more likely to be identified — related
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