The modal post-graduation outcome for CPS graduates with very low college qualifications is neither working nor in school¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2013 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? In the fall after graduation, graduates with very low college qualifications were most commonly neither working nor in school, and those who worked were substantially underemployed. → Melissa Roderick 2013

Evidence¶

Melissa Roderick 2013¶

Melissa Roderick, Vanessa Coca, Eliza Moeller, and Thomas Kelley-Kemple. (2013). From High School to the Future: The Challenge of Senior Year in Chicago Public Schools. UChicago CCSR Research Report. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/high-school-future-challenge-senior-year-chicago-public-schools

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Supplemental analysis using employment and college enrollment data tracked three graduating cohorts (2003-2005) with very low qualifications in the year after graduation; enrollees were unlikely to persist and workers were substantially underemployed.

"In the fall after graduation, the most common outcome for CPS students who have very low college qualifications was to be neither working nor in school."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Only CPS graduates with access to very selective colleges (above 3.3 GPA and ACT 26+) have four-year college graduation prospects exceeding 50 percent — related
• Attending a match college raises simulated four-year graduation probability by 13 percentage points for CPS students with access to very selective colleges, but college choice has little impact for students with low qualifications — related
• College undermatch is widespread among CPS students at all qualification levels, with only 27 percent of selective-access graduates matching — related