Middle school on-track status for college readiness is stable for most students across grades 6 to 8¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r3 · q2
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? In math, 73% of students did not change on-track/off-track status between 6th and 8th grade (54% always off-track; 19% always on-track), with only 15% switching status. → Angela Johnson 2020

Evidence¶

Angela Johnson 2020¶

Angela Johnson, Megan Kuhfeld, and Greg King. (2020). Catching up or Falling Behind: Measuring Middle School Achievement Trajectories for College Readiness. EdWorkingPaper No. 20-233, Annenberg Institute at Brown University. https://www.nwea.org/research/publication/catching-up-or-falling-behind-measuring-middle-school-achievement-trajectories-for-college-readiness/

q2 · i? · associational · r3

Descriptive analysis of trajectory groups in a longitudinal sample of 363,685 middle school students assessed up to six times in math and reading. The quote reports that "the majority (73%) of students did not change status between 6th and 8th grade" in math.

"In math, the majority (73%) of students did not change status between 6th and 8th grade. Specifically, 54% of students were always off-track to be college ready in math throughout middle school while 19% of students were always on-track."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Large-scale longitudinal study measures middle school academic trajectories relative to college readiness benchmarks for more than 360,000 US students — a broader claim this one bears on
• Among students starting 6th grade on track, being male, Black, Hispanic, or attending a higher low-income school is associated with falling off track — related
• Among students initially on-track, being male, Black, or Hispanic and attending higher-FRPL schools predict higher odds of falling off track in math — related
• Higher proportions of Black and Hispanic students than White and Asian students are off-track for college readiness throughout middle school — related
• Most high-achieving middle schoolers were on track for college readiness, but students in wealthy schools were more often on track than those in poor schools — related
• Student-level and school-level demographic characteristics significantly predict middle school academic trajectories toward college readiness — related