Student-level and school-level demographic characteristics significantly predict middle school academic trajectories toward college readiness¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Student-level and school-level demographic characteristics are significant predictors of students' academic trajectories in the middle grades. → Angela Johnson 2021

Evidence¶

Angela Johnson 2021¶

Angela Johnson, Megan Kuhfeld, Greg King. (2021). Measuring middle school achievement trajectories for college readiness. Educational Policy. https://doi.org/10.1177/08959048211006833

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Abstract reports that in the national longitudinal analysis, "Student-level and school-level demographic characteristics significantly predict academic trajectories." The abstract prints no effect sizes or test statistics, so magnitude is unspecified.

"Student-level and school-level demographic characteristics significantly predict academic trajectories."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Large-scale longitudinal study measures middle school academic trajectories relative to college readiness benchmarks for more than 360,000 US students — a broader claim this one bears on
• Being male, Black, or Hispanic and changing schools predict lower odds of moving on-track; the reading findings are qualitatively similar — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Among students initially on-track, being male, Black, or Hispanic and attending higher-FRPL schools predict higher odds of falling off track in math — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Among students starting 6th grade on track, being male, Black, Hispanic, or attending a higher low-income school is associated with falling off track — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Predictive accuracy of middle and high school indicators did not vary substantially between student groups — related
• Higher proportions of Black and Hispanic students than White and Asian students are off-track for college readiness throughout middle school — related
• Middle school on-track status for college readiness is stable for most students across grades 6 to 8 — related
• Always on-track and always off-track students attend schools with systematically different demographic compositions — related