Among students starting 6th grade on track, being male, Black, Hispanic, or attending a higher low-income school is associated with falling off track¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr?·q2
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? Among students who began 6th grade on track for college readiness, being male, Black, or Hispanic, and attending schools with a higher percentage of low-income students, are each positively associated with subsequently falling off track. → Angela Johnson 2021
Evidence¶
Angela Johnson 2021¶
Angela Johnson, Megan Kuhfeld, Greg King. (2021). Measuring middle school achievement trajectories for college readiness. Educational Policy. https://doi.org/10.1177/08959048211006833
q2 · i? · associational · r?
Abstract reports an observational conditional analysis of students "who started 6th grade on track," finding demographic and school-poverty characteristics positively associated with falling off track. The abstract prints no effect sizes or coefficients.
"Among students who started 6th grade on track, being male, Black, Hispanic, and attending schools with a higher percentage of low-income students are positively associated with falling off track."
Discussion¶
Learner Variables¶
- Gender — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause
Related Claims¶
- Higher proportions of Black and Hispanic students than White and Asian students are off-track for college readiness throughout middle school — related
- Student-level and school-level demographic characteristics significantly predict middle school academic trajectories toward college readiness — a broader claim this one bears on
- Among students initially on-track, being male, Black, or Hispanic and attending higher-FRPL schools predict higher odds of falling off track in math — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- Being male, Black, or Hispanic and changing schools predict lower odds of moving on-track; the reading findings are qualitatively similar — related
- Always on-track and always off-track students attend schools with systematically different demographic compositions — related
- Middle school on-track status for college readiness is stable for most students across grades 6 to 8 — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
falling-off-track-predictors-on-track-6th-graders |
title |
Among students starting 6th grade on track, being male, Black, Hispanic, or attending a higher low-income school is associated with falling off track |
description |
Among students starting 6th grade on track, being male, Black, Hispanic, or attending a higher low-income school is associated with falling off track |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2021 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — angela-johnson-2021 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.