Ninth-grade GPAs varied substantially by gender, race/ethnicity, neighborhood SES, incoming test scores, course level, and school¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? Girls (47.4 percent A/B) outpaced boys (31.8 percent); Asian students were 2.5 times more likely than Black students to earn As and Bs; honors students earned A/B GPAs at roughly twice the rate of non-honors students (61 vs 31.8 percent); and GPAs varied greatly across the 90 high schools. → Easton 2017
Evidence¶
Easton 2017¶
Easton, J.Q., Johnson, E., & Sartain, L. (2017). The predictive power of ninth-grade GPA. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/predictive-power-ninth-grade-gpa
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Descriptive, unadjusted analyses of pooled 2006-13 CPS cohorts (Figures 2-7): gender, race/ethnicity, neighborhood SES quartile, eighth-grade test quartile, math course level, and across-school distributions. The quote gives the honors-versus-regular contrast; gender figures (47.4 vs 31.8 percent A/B) and the 2.5-times Asian-Black ratio are printed in the same chapter.
"about twice as many students who took (at least some) honors classes received A or B GPAs than students in non-honors classes (61 percent compared to 31.8 percent)"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- School test score averages are strongly related to the income of the families a school serves — the general claim this finding bears on, with the studies behind it
- A very demanding course schedule lowers core-course GPA by about 0.40 points relative to an undemanding one — related
- Systematic racial, ethnic and gender differences in grades persist among students with the same test scores, attendance, courses and teachers — related
- Students earned higher average grades in CS courses than in core courses, with few failing CS — related
- High- and middle-achieving Black students saw core GPA declines at least twice as large as White peers with similar eighth-grade GPAs — related
- SAT scores underpredict the academic performance of high school girls, who average lower scores than boys despite higher grades — related
- Students' risk of suspension is more strongly determined by which school they attend than by their individual backgrounds — related
- After accounting for incoming academic achievement, neighborhood crime and poverty show effectively no relationship with school safety — related
- Most Chicago freshmen fail at least one course, miss substantial school, or earn below a C average in their first year — related
- Graduation rates differ largely across Chicago schools, with many new charter and magnet schools and several neighborhood high schools showing exceptionally high rates beyond what incoming freshman characteristics would predict — related
- Schools serving similar students from similar neighborhoods had substantially different absence rates, with over half of school variation unexplained by student backgrounds or prior absences — related
- Validity evidence for the IRLA is disaggregated across grade, program, and race/ethnicity — related
- Student test effort differs substantially across student gender and racial subgroups — related
- High school girls and boys take largely similar math and science coursework, with girls more likely to complete biology and chemistry and boys more likely to complete physics and calculus — related
- Black and Latinx students were less likely than their peers to be in the On-Track category, and within each race/ethnicity group boys were less likely to be on-track than girls — related
- Ninth-grade course failure rates varied substantially across CPS high schools even after controlling for demographics and prior achievement, and student-teacher relationship measures were associated with better-than-expected Freshman OnTrack rates — related
- Prior gateway course success rates averaged 66 percent with a 14-point gap for students of color — related
- The peer assessment effect size is comparable in magnitude to a substantial fraction of measured achievement gaps in the course — related
- Girls report higher school engagement at time 1 and higher cumulative GPA than boys — related
- Teacher-rated grades show girls rated slightly higher than boys, but gender is unrelated to test performance — related
- Higher absence rates are the most important factor explaining why students with disabilities fail more courses and earn lower GPAs than students without identified disabilities — related
- Class of 1997 outcomes differed by gender, with girls graduating at higher counts than boys within five years — related
- GPA declines in arts and PE/health greatly exceeded declines in core subjects between eighth and ninth grade — related
- Students with higher eighth-grade achievement saw larger core GPA declines across the transition to high school — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
ninth-grade-gpa-demographic-variation |
title |
Ninth-grade GPAs varied substantially by gender, race/ethnicity, neighborhood SES, incoming test scores, course level, and school |
description |
Ninth-grade GPAs varied substantially by gender, race/ethnicity, neighborhood SES, incoming test scores, course level, and school |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2017 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-08 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — easton-2017 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.