Teacher attrition rose from 5.1% in 1992 to 8.4% in 2005 and has hovered around 8% since¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2022: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The percentage of teachers leaving the profession increased substantially over two decades, amounting to about 90,000 additional teachers needing to be hired each year. → Carver-Thomas 2017
Evidence¶
Carver-Thomas 2017¶
Carver-Thomas, D. & Darling-Hammond, L. (2017). Teacher turnover: Why it matters and what we can do about it. Palo Alto, CA: Learning Policy Institute. https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/product/teacher-turnover doi:10.54300/454.278
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Trend analysis of NCES Schools and Staffing Survey data shows attrition rose from 5.1% in 1992 to 8.4% in 2005; the report states the 3% increase "amounts to about 90,000 additional teachers needing to be hired across the U.S. each year."
"5.1% of public school teachers left the workforce in 1992, while 8.4% left in 2005. Attrition rates have continued to hover around 8% since then"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- High teacher attrition, near 8% annually, is the largest share of teacher demand, and halving it could virtually eliminate shortages — related
- After accounting for teacher and school characteristics, each $1,000 increase in cost-of-living-adjusted salary is associated with about a 0.34 percentage-point decrease in turnover probability — related
- Between 2020–21 and 2021–22, 15.1% of U.S. public school teachers moved schools or left the profession, and turnover is now about 20% higher than in 1992 — related
- Michigan's inflation-adjusted teacher salaries fell more than 20% between 1999 and 2019, the second largest decline in the country — related
- Texas teacher attrition has exceeded the national average by about 25% over the past decade, reaching nearly 12% in 2021–22 — related
- Overall U.S. teacher turnover is about 16% annually, with about 8% leaving the profession and about 8% moving schools — related
- A statewide cohort analysis found 8% of new Texas teachers left after year 1, 26% by year 5, and 46% by year 8 — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
teacher-attrition-increase-since-1992 |
title |
Teacher attrition rose from 5.1% in 1992 to 8.4% in 2005 and has hovered around 8% since |
description |
Teacher attrition rose from 5.1% in 1992 to 8.4% in 2005 and has hovered around 8% since |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2017 |
recheck_by |
2022 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — carver-thomas-2017 |
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