Each disconnected youth in Arizona incurs a lifetime social loss of $695,090 and fiscal loss of $234,480, totaling $127.3 billion social and $43.0 billion fiscal per cohort of 183,200¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2014 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2019: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
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This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The lifetime social loss per disconnected youth is $695,090 and the fiscal loss is $234,480; across 183,200 disconnected youth the aggregate losses are $127.3 billion social and $43.0 billion fiscal. → How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014
Evidence¶
How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014¶
How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities, Creates Economic Losses for the State of Arizona. (2014). A Project of WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED559628
q2 · i? · associational · r2
The report's Section 5.2 presents lifetime present values at age 20 for disconnected youth aged 16-24, combining losses during youth years ($155,470 social) and adulthood ($539,620 social). Across the cohort of 183,200 youth, the social loss is $127.3 billion and fiscal loss $43.0 billion.
"Adding together the full loss during the youth years and the adult loss, the total social loss per disconnected youth is $695,090. The total fiscal loss is $234,480."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- The future lifetime loss from disconnected youth is three times greater than the immediate loss during the youth years — related
- The report's loss estimates are conservative because they exclude health, psychological, family, community, and broader societal costs that cannot be monetized — related
- The lifetime fiscal loss per Arizona high school dropout is $135,730 across all levels of government, or $2.5 billion per cohort — related
- Each Arizona high school dropout imposes a lifetime social loss of $421,280, totaling $7.6 billion per annual cohort of 18,100 dropouts — related
- Arizona high school graduates are predicted to earn $271,040 more over a lifetime than dropouts, net of ability and motivation adjustments — related
- Educational opportunity and achievement gaps impose large societal costs, including an estimated $156 billion loss in tax revenues and income per yearly cohort of nongraduates — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
arizona-disconnected-youth-lifetime-losses |
title |
Each disconnected youth in Arizona incurs a lifetime social loss of $695,090 and fiscal loss of $234,480, totaling $127.3 billion social and $43.0 billion fiscal per cohort of 183,200 |
description |
Each disconnected youth in Arizona incurs a lifetime social loss of $695,090 and fiscal loss of $234,480, totaling $127.3 billion social and $43.0 billion fiscal per cohort of 183,200 |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2014 |
recheck_by |
2019 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — how-arizonas-dropout-crisis-affects-communities-2014 |
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