The future lifetime loss from disconnected youth is three times greater than the immediate loss during the youth years¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2014 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2019: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The adult (post-age-24) loss from disconnected youth is far greater — three times greater — than the immediate loss during youth years. → How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014
Evidence¶
How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014¶
How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities, Creates Economic Losses for the State of Arizona. (2014). A Project of WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED559628
q2 · i? · associational · r2
In Section 5.2's conclusions, the report compares the lifetime adult loss ($539,620 social per youth) with the youth-years loss ($155,470 social per youth), attributing the larger future loss to failure to progress to economic independence in adulthood.
"Second, the future loss from discon- nected youth is far greater – three times greater – than the immediate loss. Even as society is jeopardizing potential, the big economic loss from disconnected youth is that these individuals will not progress through adulthood to be economically independent."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Each disconnected youth in Arizona incurs a lifetime social loss of $695,090 and fiscal loss of $234,480, totaling $127.3 billion social and $43.0 billion fiscal per cohort of 183,200 — related
- Each Arizona high school dropout imposes a lifetime social loss of $421,280, totaling $7.6 billion per annual cohort of 18,100 dropouts — related
- Educational opportunity and achievement gaps impose large societal costs, including an estimated $156 billion loss in tax revenues and income per yearly cohort of nongraduates
- Arizona high school graduates are predicted to earn $271,040 more over a lifetime than dropouts, net of ability and motivation adjustments — related
- The report's loss estimates are conservative because they exclude health, psychological, family, community, and broader societal costs that cannot be monetized — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
disconnected-youth-future-loss-threefold |
title |
The future lifetime loss from disconnected youth is three times greater than the immediate loss during the youth years |
description |
The future lifetime loss from disconnected youth is three times greater than the immediate loss during the youth years |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2014 |
recheck_by |
2019 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — how-arizonas-dropout-crisis-affects-communities-2014 |
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