The report's loss estimates are conservative because they exclude health, psychological, family, community, and broader societal costs that cannot be monetized¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · theoretical r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2014 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? The economic calculations exclude key impacts — broader health and psychological costs, family costs, community losses, and costs of inequality — making the estimates conservative. → How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014

Evidence¶

How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014¶

How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities, Creates Economic Losses for the State of Arizona. (2014). A Project of WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED559628

q2 · i? · theoretical · r2

Section 5.4's sensitivity analysis is an authors' interpretive argument, not a tested result. It lists excluded impacts including "broader health and psychological costs to inactivity", family repercussions, community crime losses, and broader costs of deep inequality.

"Importantly, our economic calculations exclude some key impacts either because there is insufficient data on their direct association with youth characteristics or because the impacts cannot be easily expressed in money terms."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Each disconnected youth in Arizona incurs a lifetime social loss of $695,090 and fiscal loss of $234,480, totaling $127.3 billion social and $43.0 billion fiscal per cohort of 183,200 — related
• Educational opportunity and achievement gaps impose large societal costs, including an estimated $156 billion loss in tax revenues and income per yearly cohort of nongraduates — related
• Each Arizona high school dropout imposes a lifetime social loss of $421,280, totaling $7.6 billion per annual cohort of 18,100 dropouts — related
• The future lifetime loss from disconnected youth is three times greater than the immediate loss during the youth years — related
• Arizona high school graduates are predicted to earn $271,040 more over a lifetime than dropouts, net of ability and motivation adjustments — related
• The lifetime fiscal loss per Arizona high school dropout is $135,730 across all levels of government, or $2.5 billion per cohort — related