Each Arizona high school dropout imposes a lifetime social loss of $421,280, totaling $7.6 billion per annual cohort of 18,100 dropouts¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2014 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The lifetime social loss per Arizona high school dropout is $421,280, and across the 18,100 students dropping out annually the aggregate social loss is $7.6 billion. → How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014
Evidence¶
How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities 2014¶
How Arizona's Dropout Crisis Affects Communities, Creates Economic Losses for the State of Arizona. (2014). A Project of WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED559628
q2 · i? · associational · r2
The report's summary presents model-based calculations comparing lifetime profiles of dropouts and graduates, expressed as present values at age 18 in 2013 dollars. It states "the lifetime social loss for the state of Arizona is $421,280" per dropout, aggregating to "$7 .6 billion" across the annual cohort of 18,100.
"For each high school dropout, the lifetime social loss for the state of Arizona is $421,280. Across the 18,100 students in Arizona who dropout of high school annually, this social loss amounts to $7 .6 billion."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- The lifetime fiscal loss per Arizona high school dropout is $135,730 across all levels of government, or $2.5 billion per cohort — related
- Each disconnected youth in Arizona incurs a lifetime social loss of $695,090 and fiscal loss of $234,480, totaling $127.3 billion social and $43.0 billion fiscal per cohort of 183,200 — related
- Arizona high school graduates are predicted to earn $271,040 more over a lifetime than dropouts, net of ability and motivation adjustments — related
- The report's loss estimates are conservative because they exclude health, psychological, family, community, and broader societal costs that cannot be monetized — related
- The future lifetime loss from disconnected youth is three times greater than the immediate loss during the youth years — related
- Educational opportunity and achievement gaps impose large societal costs, including an estimated $156 billion loss in tax revenues and income per yearly cohort of nongraduates — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
arizona-dropout-lifetime-social-loss-421280 |
title |
Each Arizona high school dropout imposes a lifetime social loss of $421,280, totaling $7.6 billion per annual cohort of 18,100 dropouts |
description |
Each Arizona high school dropout imposes a lifetime social loss of $421,280, totaling $7.6 billion per annual cohort of 18,100 dropouts |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2014 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — how-arizonas-dropout-crisis-affects-communities-2014 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.