The share of students in the On-Track category increased by 20 percentage points between 2009 and 2019 while the Intensive Support share decreased from 12 to 8 percent¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Districtwide, the percentage of third- through eighth-grade students in the On-Track category increased by 20 percentage points from 2009 to 2019, and Intensive Support decreased from 12 percent to 8 percent. → Seeskin 2022

Evidence¶

Seeskin 2022¶

Seeskin, A., Massion, T., and Usher, A. (2022). Elementary on-track: Elementary school students' grades, attendance, and future outcomes. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/middle-grades-network-improvement-community

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive trend analysis (Figure A.1) of the distribution of CPS students in grades 3-8 into Condensed EOT categories from school year 2008-09 to 2018-19, with each year of a student's GPA and attendance treated as its own data point averaged at the district level. The report also states the Intensive Support percentage "decreased from 12 percent to 8 percent from 2009 to 2019."

"Between 2009 to 2019, the percentage of third- through eighth-grade students in the On-Track category increased by 20 percentage points."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Districtwide ninth-grade on-track rates rose 25 percentage points between 2007 and 2013 across racial, gender, and achievement subgroups — related
• CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose from 58 to 89 percent between 2007 and 2017 while graduation rates rose 19 percentage points — related
• Freshman OnTrack rates improved most among the highest-risk students, including Black and Latinx young men and the lowest-achieving entrants — related
• On-track gains were largest for students with the lowest incoming skills and for African American males — related