An estimated 18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will obtain a four-year college degree within 10 years of starting high school (Bachelor's DAI, 2015)¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2016 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? The 2015 Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index estimates 18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will earn a four-year degree within 10 years of starting high school, up from an estimated 17 percent in 2014. → Nagaoka 2016

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2016¶

Nagaoka, J., & Healey, K. (2016). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2015: A focus on four-year college degrees. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. http://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/educational-attainment-chicago-public-schools-students-2015-focus-four-year-college

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Districtwide descriptive estimate from CPS administrative data reported in the 2015 attainment brief. The brief states the estimate that "18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will obtain a four-year-college degree within 10 years"; no effect size is applicable.

"As of 2015, we estimate that 18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will obtain a four-year-college degree within 10 years of starting high school (the Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index or Bachelor's DAI; see Table 1 ), com- pared to an estimate of 17 percent in the 2014 brief."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• CPS's Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index rose 7 percentage points, from 11 percent for 2006 ninth-graders to 18 percent for 2016 ninth-graders — related
• The 2017 CPS Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index is estimated at 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006, with the Direct Bachelor's DAI at 17 percent — related
• If current rates hold, only 20 percent of current CPS ninth-graders will complete a bachelor's degree within 10 years (2019 BDAI), with 18 percent via a direct pathway — related
• Bachelor's DAI varies sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black and Latino young men are projected at 10 and 13 percent versus a 19 percent district average — related
• Projected bachelor's degree attainment is far lower for Black and Latino young men (10 and 14 percent) than the CPS district average of 20 percent — related