CPS's Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index rose 7 percentage points, from 11 percent for 2006 ninth-graders to 18 percent for 2016 ninth-graders¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2020: local conditions change quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? The Bachelor's DAI, which counts all pathways to a bachelor's degree within 10 years, increased from an estimated 11 percent to 18 percent between 2006 and 2016. → Nagaoka 2017

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2017¶

Nagaoka, J., Seeskin, A., & Coca, V.M. (2017). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2016. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/data

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive analysis estimating the share of CPS ninth-graders who will earn a bachelor's degree within 10 years. The report states the “2016 Bachelor’s DAI is a 7 percentage point increase above the 11 percent estimated for 2006 ninth-graders,” and unchanged from 2015.

"CPS has shown dramatic improvements on the Bachelor’s DAI since 2006, when the district first started focusing on post-secondary attainment; the 2016 Bachelor’s DAI is a 7 percentage point increase above the 11 percent estimated for 2006 ninth-graders."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• The estimated percentage of CPS ninth-graders taking a direct path to a bachelor's degree nearly doubled between 2006 and 2016, from 9 percent to 16 percent — related
• The 2017 CPS Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index is estimated at 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006, with the Direct Bachelor's DAI at 17 percent — related
• The percent of CPS ninth-graders projected to earn a bachelor's degree within six years of high school graduation nearly doubled from 11 percent in 2006 to 20 percent in 2018 — related
• CPS graduates' qualifications improved: students graduating with at least a 3.0 core GPA rose from 21 to 32 percent between 2006 and 2015 — related
• If current rates hold, only 20 percent of current CPS ninth-graders will complete a bachelor's degree within 10 years (2019 BDAI), with 18 percent via a direct pathway — related
• An estimated 18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will obtain a four-year college degree within 10 years of starting high school (Bachelor's DAI, 2015) — related
• The 2023 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 31%, up 0.4 percentage points from 2022 — related
• The 2021 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 27.0%, essentially unchanged from 2020 — related
• Bachelor's DAI varies sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black and Latino young men are projected at 10 and 13 percent versus a 19 percent district average — related
• Projected bachelor's degree attainment is far lower for Black and Latino young men (10 and 14 percent) than the CPS district average of 20 percent — related