Bachelor's DAI varies sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black and Latino young men are projected at 10 and 13 percent versus a 19 percent district average¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2018 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? If underlying rates do not change, 10 percent of Black young men and 13 percent of Latino young men who were ninth-graders in 2017 are predicted to earn a bachelor's degree in 10 years, compared to the 19 percent district average; within each racial group young women outpace young men, by 9 percentage points among Black students and 10 among Latino students (Table 2 shows 19 among White and 13 among Asian students). → Nagaoka 2018

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2018¶

Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2018). The Educational Attainment of Chicago Public Schools Students: 2017. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/educational-attainment-chicago-public-schools-students-2017

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive subgroup analysis of the milestone rates composing the Bachelor's DAI, shown in Table 2 for 26,817 first-time ninth-graders. The brief reports Black young women are "9 percentage points and Latina young women are 10 percentage points more likely" to earn a degree than male peers; in Table 2 the gap is larger for White (53% vs 34%) and Asian (59% vs 46%) students.

"we predict that 10 percent of Black young men and 13 percent of Latino young men who were ninth-graders in 2017 will have a bachelor’s degree in 10 years, compared to the district average of 19 percent."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Gender — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause

Related Claims¶

• Projected bachelor's degree attainment is far lower for Black and Latino young men (10 and 14 percent) than the CPS district average of 20 percent — related
• The 2017 CPS Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index is estimated at 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006, with the Direct Bachelor's DAI at 17 percent — related
• The percent of CPS ninth-graders projected to earn a bachelor's degree within six years of high school graduation nearly doubled from 11 percent in 2006 to 20 percent in 2018 — related
• Gains in sophomore performance were unequal: about one in five Latino and Black young men were off-track at the end of sophomore year — related
• Black and Latinx students were less likely than their peers to be in the On-Track category, and within each race/ethnicity group boys were less likely to be on-track than girls — related
• Attainment indices vary sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black young men face a projected PAI of 12.6 percent versus 62.0 percent for Asian/Pacific Islander young women — related
• If current rates hold, only 20 percent of current CPS ninth-graders will complete a bachelor's degree within 10 years (2019 BDAI), with 18 percent via a direct pathway — related
• College completion among immediate enrollees in the CPS class of 2015 shows large race/ethnicity and gender gaps, with fewer than a third of Black and Latino young men completing a bachelor's degree — related
• The 2020 Post-Secondary Attainment Index is 27 percent, and no race/ethnicity and gender group reaches the 75 percent aspiration benchmark — related
• The 2021 PAI ranges widely by race/ethnicity and gender, from 11.6% for Black young men to 67.3% for Asian/Pacific Islander young women, and no group reaches the 75% aspiration level — related
• College aspirations doubled between 1980 and 2002 while readiness and completion gaps by race, ethnicity, and income persisted or widened — related
• Four- versus six-year completion gaps of 15–25 percentage points appeared across academic and demographic groups, with Black young men at 13% four-year and 31% six-year completion — related
• White students outcomplete Black students by at least 11 percentage points in every family income group at four-year institutions — related
• College completion among CPS 2017 immediate enrollees shows large disparities by race/ethnicity and gender, with fewer than one-third of Black and Latino young men completing a bachelor's degree — related
• The 2023 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 31%, up 0.4 percentage points from 2022 — related
• An estimated 18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will obtain a four-year college degree within 10 years of starting high school (Bachelor's DAI, 2015) — related
• Gender differences in ninth-grade math grades were similar across racial/ethnic groups, with young men earning fewer points in every group — related
• CPS's Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index rose 7 percentage points, from 11 percent for 2006 ninth-graders to 18 percent for 2016 ninth-graders — related
• CPS high school graduation rates show large gaps by race/ethnicity and gender, with young men graduating at lower rates than young women within every race/ethnicity group — related