The 2017 CPS Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index is estimated at 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006, with the Direct Bachelor's DAI at 17 percent¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2018 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? The 2017 Bachelor's DAI for CPS ninth-graders is estimated at 19 percent, an increase from 11 percent in 2006 and 18 percent in 2016, driven primarily by a 3-percentage-point improvement in four-year college enrollment. → Nagaoka 2018

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2018¶

Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2018). The Educational Attainment of Chicago Public Schools Students: 2017. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/educational-attainment-chicago-public-schools-students-2017

q2 · i? · associational · r2

District-level descriptive analysis using CPS administrative records and National Student Clearinghouse data, multiplying the most recent milestone rates. The brief states the "2017 Bachelor’s DAI is 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006."

"Thus, the 2017 Bachelor’s DAI is 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006 and from 18 percent in 2016. The increase over the past year was primarily due to the 3-percentage-point improvement in the four-year college enrollment rate"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Projected bachelor's degree attainment is far lower for Black and Latino young men (10 and 14 percent) than the CPS district average of 20 percent — related
• The percent of CPS ninth-graders projected to earn a bachelor's degree within six years of high school graduation nearly doubled from 11 percent in 2006 to 20 percent in 2018 — related
• Bachelor's DAI varies sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black and Latino young men are projected at 10 and 13 percent versus a 19 percent district average — related
• Four-year college graduation rates remained flat at about 49 percent for direct four-year enrollees, with much lower rates for two-year (8 percent) and delayed enrollees (4 percent) — related
• Two-thirds of CPS graduates immediately enrolled in a two- or four-year college in 2017, up from 50 percent in 2006 — related
• CPS's Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index rose 7 percentage points, from 11 percent for 2006 ninth-graders to 18 percent for 2016 ninth-graders — related
• CPS graduates' immediate college enrollment increased between 2006 and 2015, driven mainly by growth in four-year college enrollment — related
• The estimated percentage of CPS ninth-graders taking a direct path to a bachelor's degree nearly doubled between 2006 and 2016, from 9 percent to 16 percent — related
• A rural district that closed device and connectivity divides and trained teachers saw graduation rates rise from 67 percent to over 94 percent and college enrollment double — related
• If current rates hold, only 20 percent of current CPS ninth-graders will complete a bachelor's degree within 10 years (2019 BDAI), with 18 percent via a direct pathway — related
• College aspirations doubled between 1980 and 2002 while readiness and completion gaps by race, ethnicity, and income persisted or widened — related
• An estimated 18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will obtain a four-year college degree within 10 years of starting high school (Bachelor's DAI, 2015) — related
• College enrollment gaps by race, gender, and socioeconomic background among CPS graduates were driven primarily by differences in four-year enrollment — related
• In the decade or so to 2017, Chicago Public Schools saw large rises in freshman on-track rates (2006 to 2017), graduation, and college enrollment, with the greatest on-track increases among Black and Latino males — related