Projected bachelor's degree attainment is far lower for Black and Latino young men (10 and 14 percent) than the CPS district average of 20 percent¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r? · q2
Currency · newest study 2018 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Among students who completed ninth grade in 2018, 10 percent of Black young men and 14 percent of Latino young men are projected to earn a bachelor's degree within 10 years, versus a 20 percent district average. → The Educational Attainment of Chicago Public Schools Students: 2018 2018

Evidence¶

The Educational Attainment of Chicago Public Schools Students: 2018 2018¶

The Educational Attainment of Chicago Public Schools Students: 2018. (2018). UChicago Consortium on School Research / To&Through Project. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/the-educationa-attainment-of-chicago-public-schools-students-2018

q2 · i? · associational · r?

Descriptive subgroup analysis from the 2018 snapshot comparing DAI projections for Black and Latino young men against the district average; the article prints the percentages with no test statistic.

"Ten percent of Black young men and 14 percent of Latino young men who completed ninth grade in 2018 are projected to earn a bachelor's degree within 10 years, compared to the district average of 20 percent."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Race and Ethnicity — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause

Related Claims¶

• Bachelor's DAI varies sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black and Latino young men are projected at 10 and 13 percent versus a 19 percent district average — related
• The percent of CPS ninth-graders projected to earn a bachelor's degree within six years of high school graduation nearly doubled from 11 percent in 2006 to 20 percent in 2018 — related
• The 2017 CPS Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index is estimated at 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006, with the Direct Bachelor's DAI at 17 percent — related
• Gains in sophomore performance were unequal: about one in five Latino and Black young men were off-track at the end of sophomore year — related
• College completion among immediate enrollees in the CPS class of 2015 shows large race/ethnicity and gender gaps, with fewer than a third of Black and Latino young men completing a bachelor's degree — related
• College aspirations doubled between 1980 and 2002 while readiness and completion gaps by race, ethnicity, and income persisted or widened — related
• Four- versus six-year completion gaps of 15–25 percentage points appeared across academic and demographic groups, with Black young men at 13% four-year and 31% six-year completion — related
• Black graduates are underrepresented among associate degree earners in 33 of 41 examined states, with only three states at parity for bachelor's degrees — related
• White students outcomplete Black students by at least 11 percentage points in every family income group at four-year institutions — related
• College completion among CPS 2017 immediate enrollees shows large disparities by race/ethnicity and gender, with fewer than one-third of Black and Latino young men completing a bachelor's degree — related
• An estimated 18 percent of CPS ninth-graders will obtain a four-year college degree within 10 years of starting high school (Bachelor's DAI, 2015) — related
• Attainment indices vary sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black young men face a projected PAI of 12.6 percent versus 62.0 percent for Asian/Pacific Islander young women — related
• CPS's Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index rose 7 percentage points, from 11 percent for 2006 ninth-graders to 18 percent for 2016 ninth-graders — related