Attendance Support students maintained a 3.0 GPA despite low attendance but graduated high school at 71 percent, below the district average, and fewer than half attended college¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2022 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2025: local conditions change quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Students in the Attendance Support category graduated high school at 71 percent, below the 2018-19 district average of 82 percent, and fewer than one-half attended college. → Seeskin 2022

Evidence¶

Seeskin 2022¶

Seeskin, A., Massion, T., and Usher, A. (2022). Elementary on-track: Elementary school students' grades, attendance, and future outcomes. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/middle-grades-network-improvement-community

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Observational analysis of the 2010-11 cohort; the Attendance Support sample for Figure 6 consisted of 1,306 students (1 percent of the sample used across Figures 4-7), a small group since few students maintained a 3.0 GPA with attendance below 90 percent.

"students in the Attendance Support category graduated high school at 71 percent, below the 2018–19 district average of 82 percent, and fewer than one-half attended college ( see Figure 6 )."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Time and Continuity — predictor: learners who differ on it differ in outcomes

Related Claims¶

• Freshman attendance below 85 percent predicts non-graduation even among students with similar grades — related
• Within every student category, freshman GPA, course failures, and absences are strongly related to five-year graduation rates, with large drops per half grade point, per additional course failure, and per absence band — a broader claim this one bears on
• Academic Support students, who attended regularly but earned below a 3.0 GPA, made up nearly 40 percent of students and saw academic struggles persist beyond the middle grades — related
• Attendance and effort, more than test scores or demographics, drive course grades, GPA, course failure, graduation, and college readiness — a broader claim this one bears on
• Nearly 90 percent of Chicago freshmen who miss less than a week of school per semester graduate, regardless of 8th grade test scores — related
• Ninth-grade GPA strongly predicts on-time high school graduation, with an especially large gap between F and D students — related
• Missing five days of school in the first semester of ninth grade decreases the likelihood of eventually graduating high school by 25 percentage points — related
• Students in higher CPS EOT categories had progressively higher rates of high school graduation and college enrollment — related
• Low attendance is linked with lower academic skills, grades, and high school graduation, and high attendance with higher ones — related
• Elementary students with 90%+ attendance and GPA 3.0+ in grades 3-8 were more likely to graduate high school with a 3.0+ GPA than peers in other EOT categories — related