Receiving an offer of admission to a KIPP middle school increases enrollment in 4-year college programs by 6.9 percentage points¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · causalr?·q3
Currency · newest study 2022 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 2 of 2 entries) · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? A middle school admission offer raises 4-year college enrollment rates, with the estimated impact of 6.9%, using admission lotteries as a random assignment instrument. → Ira Nichols-Barrer 2022
Evidence¶
Ira Nichols-Barrer 2022¶
Ira Nichols-Barrer, Maria Bartlett, Thomas Coen, Philip Gleason. (2022). The Impacts on College Enrollment of a Charter Network Serving Disadvantaged Students: Evidence from KIPP Middle School Lotteries. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness (online ahead of print). https://www.mathematica.org/publications/the-impacts-on-college-enrollment-of-a-charter-network-serving-disadvantaged-students-evidence doi:10.1080/19345747.2022.2049406
q3 · i? · causal · r?
Quasi-experimental study of 13 KIPP middle schools using admission lotteries for random assignment, measuring college enrollment and persistence over the first two postsecondary years. The abstract reports "The magnitude of the estimated impact of a middle school admission offer (6.9%)... is substantial relative to nationwide disparities in college enrollment across racial groups."
"Using admission lotteries as a random assignment instrument, we estimate the impacts of 13 KIPP middle schools on college enrollment and persistence in college over the first two postsecondary years."
Ira Nichols-Barrer 2022 (2)¶
Ira Nichols-Barrer, Maria Bartlett, Thomas Coen, Philip Gleason. (2022). The Impacts on College Enrollment of a Charter Network Serving Disadvantaged Students: Evidence from KIPP Middle School Lotteries. Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness (online ahead of print). https://www.mathematica.org/publications/the-impacts-on-college-enrollment-of-a-charter-network-serving-disadvantaged-students-evidence
q3 · i? · causal · r?
The study reports the admission-offer impact estimate of 6.9% and characterizes it as substantial relative to nationwide racial disparities in college enrollment. Only percentage impacts are printed; no standard error or effect size is shown in the text provided.
"The magnitude of the estimated impact of a middle school admission offer (6.9%) and enrollment at a KIPP school (12.9%) is substantial relative to nationwide disparities in college enrollment across racial groups."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- The estimated KIPP middle school impacts are substantial relative to nationwide racial disparities in college enrollment — related
- Enrolling at a KIPP middle school is associated with a 12.9 percentage-point higher rate of college enrollment — related
- KIPP middle school admission offers had a positive but statistically non-significant effect on enrollment in four-year college programs — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- KIPP middle school offers did not produce higher five-year four-year graduation or on-track rates than no offer — related
- Attending both a KIPP middle school and a KIPP high school had large positive impacts on college enrollment and persistence — related
- KIPP middle schools' positive effects extend to enrollment in 4-year college programs, not only middle school achievement — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- Students offered KIPP middle school admission usually attended a KIPP middle school and many went on to attend a KIPP high school — related
- Admission to a charter middle school does not affect college enrollment, per a lottery-based study of 31 charter middle schools — related
- Charter middle school admission did not affect college degree attainment or students' chances of remaining enrolled in college — related
- Being admitted to a charter middle school in the National Evaluation of Charter Middle Schools did not affect students' chances of enrolling in or completing college — related
- The KIPP lottery-based randomized controlled trial yielded treatment and control groups similar on observable and unobservable characteristics — related
- A long-term tracking study follows 1,177 students who applied to 13 oversubscribed KIPP middle schools through 5th or 6th grade admissions lotteries in 2008 or 2009 to examine college enrollment and early college persistence. — related
- KIPP middle schools had a positive and statistically significant impact on enrollment in four-year colleges — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- The study long-term tracked 1,177 students who applied to 13 oversubscribed KIPP middle schools through 2008 or 2009 admissions lotteries — related
- A lottery-based randomized experimental analysis confirms KIPP middle schools' positive impacts — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
kipp-middle-offer-increases-four-year-college-enrollment |
title |
Receiving an offer of admission to a KIPP middle school increases enrollment in 4-year college programs by 6.9 percentage points |
description |
Receiving an offer of admission to a KIPP middle school increases enrollment in 4-year college programs by 6.9 percentage points |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2022 |
source_checked |
2026-10-20 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
2 — ira-nichols-barrer-2022, ira-nichols-barrer-2022-2 |
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