In a Bayesian-reasoning replication, problem-solving prior to instruction (PS-I) showed no significant advantage over instruction-first (I-PS) on conceptual knowledge¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causalr2·q3·i0negligible
Currency · newest study 2024 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i0 Students in PS-I conditions did not significantly outperform I-PS conditions on conceptual knowledge outcome. → Loibl 2024
Evidence¶
Loibl 2024¶
Loibl, K., & Leuders, T. (2024). Can failure be made productive also in Bayesian reasoning? A conceptual replication study. Instructional Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11251-024-09670-y
q3 · i0 · causal · r2
Controlled experiment with 75 undergraduate teacher students in a 2×2 design (order of phases × type of instruction). The ANOVA on conceptual knowledge (max 4 points) found "no significant differences regarding the factor order of phases" (F(1,71) = 0.12, p = .73, ηp² = 0.002); equivalence was not tested.
"For conceptual knowledge, the ANOVA revealed no significant differences regarding the factor order of phases (hypothesis 1a: F (1,71) = 0.12, p = .73, ηp 2 = 0.002)"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- No significant interaction between order of phases and type of instruction on conceptual knowledge in the Bayesian-reasoning replication — related
- PS-I effects did not replicate in all domains: null sequence effects in Bayesian reasoning, javelin throwing, and inquiry-skill sequencing — a broader claim this one bears on
- No significant effect of order of phases on procedural knowledge in the Bayesian-reasoning replication — related
- Productive Failure Improves Conceptual Learning — reports the opposite
- Including typical student solutions in explicit instruction showed no significant effect on conceptual knowledge in the Bayesian-reasoning replication — related
- Across two studies that differed in the duration of the initial problem-solving phase, the PS-I versus WS-I transfer advantage reversed — related
- Micro productive failure showed no effect on conceptual explanation, but a condition × time interaction emerged as the I-PS mean advantage at one day reversed at one week — related
- Across studies, high solution rates in the initial problem-solving phase co-occur with beneficial PS-I effects and low rates with no beneficial effects, a cross-study pattern not yet tested in a shared sample — related
- In the Bayesian-reasoning problem-solving phase, most students generated only one solution attempt, far fewer than in the original variance study — related
- PS-I instructional designs can improve conceptual understanding and transfer when design principles are met — reports the opposite
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
ps-i-no-effect-conceptual-bayesian-replication |
title |
In a Bayesian-reasoning replication, problem-solving prior to instruction (PS-I) showed no significant advantage over instruction-first (I-PS) on conceptual knowledge |
description |
In a Bayesian-reasoning replication, problem-solving prior to instruction (PS-I) showed no significant advantage over instruction-first (I-PS) on conceptual knowledge |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2024 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-18 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — loibl-2024 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.