School-average ACT scores strongly predict individual college graduation, doubling the odds per standard deviation¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr3·q3
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
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This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? School-level variables including average ACT and average GPA halve school-level variance in intercepts; school average ACT doubles graduation odds per SD. → Allensworth 2019
Evidence¶
Allensworth 2019¶
Allensworth, E. M., & Clark, K. (2020). High School GPAs and ACT Scores as Predictors of College Completion: Examining Assumptions about Consistency across High Schools. Educational Researcher, 49(3), 198–211. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/high-school-gpas-and-act-scores-as-predictors-of-college-completion doi:10.3102/0013189x20902110
q3 · i? · associational · r3
Group-mean centered models with school-level predictors (Table 5). School average poverty is strongly correlated with school average ACT (r=0.70) and is not significant when entered simultaneously; alone, poverty has a standardized coefficient of -0.557.
"School average ACT scores are strongly related to college graduation. The odds of graduating college double for every standard deviation increase in school average ACT scores."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Both HSGPA and ACT strongly predict four-year college enrollment and enrollment in colleges with strong graduation rates — related
- HSGPA strongly predicts six-year college graduation among four-year college enrollees, with odds of graduating doubling per standard deviation of HSGPA — related
- School average ACT scores predict college graduation for students with the same individual HSGPA and ACT score, reducing between-school variance by 42 percent, while school poverty is not significant once average ACT is included — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- Students with the same HSGPA or the same ACT score graduate from college at different rates depending on which high school they attended — related
- ACT scores show a weak relationship with college graduation, with slope variation across high schools larger than the average signal — related
- ACT scores weakly predict college graduation, and the school-level variance in the ACT slope (0.192) exceeds the average slope (0.129), so school effects introduce more noise than the ACT signal — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
school-average-act-predicts-graduation |
title |
School-average ACT scores strongly predict individual college graduation, doubling the odds per standard deviation |
description |
School-average ACT scores strongly predict individual college graduation, doubling the odds per standard deviation |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2020 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — allensworth-2019 |
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