CPS graduates with higher ACT scores had higher overall and four-year enrollment rates, and at least an ACT score of 18 gave at least a 50 percent probability of four-year enrollment¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r1–r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? CPS graduates with higher ACT scores had higher overall rates of college participation and higher rates of four-year enrollment than those with lower ACT scores. → Coca 2017 q2 i? CPS graduates needed at least an 18 on the ACT to have had at least a 50 percent probability of enrolling in a four-year college. → Coca 2017 (2)

Evidence¶

Coca 2017¶

Coca, V.M., Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2017). Patterns of two-year and four-year college enrollment among Chicago Public Schools graduates. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool

q2 · i? · associational · r1

Descriptive analysis of 2015 CPS graduates' ACT scores against immediate enrollment status, shown in Figure 6. Students with lower scores also showed higher two-year enrollment rates.

"In 2015, CPS graduates with higher ACT scores had higher overall rates of college participation and higher rates of four-year enrollment than those with lower ACT scores ( see Figure 6 )."

Coca 2017 (2)¶

Coca, V.M., Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2017). Patterns of two-year and four-year college enrollment among Chicago Public Schools graduates. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Same Figure 6 ACT analysis. The report concludes improvements to student performance on college entrance exams appear to be another potential lever for increasing college access.

"In fact, CPS graduates needed at least an 18 on the ACT to have had at least a 50 percent probability of enrolling in a four-year college."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Ninth-grade GPA predicts college enrollment and one-year college persistence in linear, incremental patterns — related
• CPS graduates' grades predicted college enrollment: graduates needed at least a 2.5 GPA for close to a 50 percent likelihood of enrolling in a four-year college — related
• From 2012 to 2017, non-rural Utah districts had higher proficiency in English language arts and science and more graduates scoring 18+ on the ACT, while rural districts had higher four-year graduation rates — related
• Students' grades are a more important predictor of college enrollment than ACT scores, which mainly constrain the selectivity of colleges attended — related
• Only CPS graduates with access to very selective colleges (above 3.3 GPA and ACT 26+) have four-year college graduation prospects exceeding 50 percent — related
• High school GPA predicts four-year college graduation more strongly than achievement test scores among Chicago graduates — related