Risk status is largely stable within the year, but 40 percent of students at risk at beginning of year met benchmark by end of year, and students on track by middle of year were significantly more likely to meet the end-of-year benchmark¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Most students at risk at BOY remained at risk at EOY, but 40 percent of BOY at-risk students met benchmark by EOY, and MOY on-track status predicted EOY benchmark attainment. → Mariann Lemke 2023

Evidence¶

Mariann Lemke 2023¶

Mariann Lemke, Dan Murphy, Aaron Soo Ping Chow, Hayley Spencer, and Angela Zhang. (2023). A First Look at Early Literacy Performance in Massachusetts: Results of Initial Analysis Based on State Grantee Literacy Screening Assessments. WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED638580

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Longitudinal performance-progression analysis of grantees' screening benchmark scores across BOY, MOY, and EOY time periods in 2020/21 and 2021/22; "40 percent of students who were at risk at BOY were able to meet benchmark by EOY."

"However, 40 percent of students who were at risk at BOY were able to meet benchmark by EOY, and students who got on track by the middle of the year (MOY) were significantly more likely to meet benchmark at EOY than those who were classified at risk at MOY."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Most students identified as significantly below benchmark on early literacy screeners remain significantly below benchmark 1 and 2 years later — the general claim this finding bears on, with the studies behind it
• About 60 percent of students significantly below benchmark at BOY remained so at EOY, and improving to benchmark by MOY predicted meeting benchmark at EOY — related
• Most students at risk at BOY remain at risk later, but students who meet benchmark by midyear tend to stay on track — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Risk status tends to persist: 75 percent of students significantly below benchmark at BOY remained so at EOY, and earlier grades showed lower year-to-year persistence — related
• Early screening benchmark status predicts later performance: most beginning-of-year at-risk students stay at risk, and meeting benchmarks by end of grade 1 is associated with much higher grade 3 MCAS odds — related
• Across school years, students identified as at risk in earlier grades were more likely to get on track by the end of the next grade than students in later grades — related
• Across grades K–3, the percentage of students below literacy benchmarks decreases more from BOY to EOY in earlier grades than in grade 3 — related
• Across beginning, middle, and end of year time periods, 52 percent of Massachusetts K–3 grantees' students were ever classified as at any level of reading risk, about 27 percent at the highest risk levels, and 12 to 18 percent as potentially at risk of dyslexia — related