Most students at risk at BOY remain at risk later, but students who meet benchmark by midyear tend to stay on track¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r1 · q2
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Among students with scores in all three periods, 56 percent at risk at BOY were still at risk at MOY and EOY; about 24 percent met benchmark at MOY, and 87 percent of those met benchmark at EOY. → Lemke 2023

Evidence¶

Lemke 2023¶

Lemke, M., Murphy, D., Soo Ping Chow, A., Spencer, H., & Zhang, A. (2023). Supporting students early: Findings from initial analysis of student progress in early literacy in Massachusetts. WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED638614

q2 · i? · associational · r1

Longitudinal transition analysis of students in grades K–3 with scores in each of the three time periods (54% of all students), from 2020/21 and 2021/22 district-provided screener data. The brief reports "87 percent met benchmark at EOY" among midyear on-track students.

"56 percent of students who were at risk at BOY were still at risk at MOY and EOY. However, about 24 percent of students who were at risk at BOY met benchmark at MOY, and among those students, 87 percent met benchmark at EOY"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Risk status is largely stable within the year, but 40 percent of students at risk at beginning of year met benchmark by end of year, and students on track by middle of year were significantly more likely to meet the end-of-year benchmark — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Across school years, students identified as at risk in earlier grades were more likely to get on track by the end of the next grade than students in later grades — related
• Risk status tends to persist: 75 percent of students significantly below benchmark at BOY remained so at EOY, and earlier grades showed lower year-to-year persistence — related
• Across grades K–3, the percentage of students below literacy benchmarks decreases more from BOY to EOY in earlier grades than in grade 3 — related
• About 60 percent of students significantly below benchmark at BOY remained so at EOY, and improving to benchmark by MOY predicted meeting benchmark at EOY — related
• The percentage of students who stay at risk across time periods increases across grade levels K–3 — related
• Literacy screener benchmarks predict which grade 3 students will not meet MCAS ELA expectations, but not necessarily who will meet them — related
• Most students identified as significantly below benchmark on early literacy screeners remain significantly below benchmark 1 and 2 years later — related
• Early screening benchmark status predicts later performance: most beginning-of-year at-risk students stay at risk, and meeting benchmarks by end of grade 1 is associated with much higher grade 3 MCAS odds — related