Contextualized high school GPA had a stronger relationship with college success than contextualized standardized test scores (Bastedo et al., attributed)¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · reviewr?·q2
Currency · newest study 2025 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The Bastedo, Umbricht, Bauch, Byun, and Bai (2023) study found that contextualized high school GPA had a stronger relationship with success than contextualized standardized test scores. → Key Questions: How important are course grades as predictors of students' future success? 2025
Evidence¶
Key Questions: How important are course grades as predictors of students' future success? 2025¶
Key Questions: How important are course grades as predictors of students' future success? (2025). UChicago Consortium / FutureEd. https://consortium.uchicago.edu
q2 · i? · review · r?
The article reports, citing Bastedo, Umbricht, Bauch, Byun, and Bai (2023), that "contextualized high school GPA had a stronger relationship with success than contextualized standardized test scores"; contextualized measures consider applicant GPA and test scores relative to others at their high school. No effect sizes are printed in this article.
"The study found that contextualized high school GPA had a stronger relationship with success than contextualized standardized test scores."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Studies finding grades less predictive often use restricted samples or weighted or self-reported GPAs, which are less accurate — related
- Course grades and GPA predict high school and college outcomes better than standardized test scores or coursework — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- Prior GPA was the best predictor of students' course grade, whether or not students used courseware. — related
- GPA combined with test scores was the best prediction of college degree attainment for all English Learner groups, but the test-score relationship partly reflects school composition — related
- Course grades are more predictive than standardized test scores of high school and college success — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- Grade inflation has not significantly attenuated the signaling power of grades, with some evidence of an increase (Pattison, Grodsky, and Muller, attributed)
- Combining GPA or course failure rates with attendance provides the best prediction of high school graduation for most EL groups, while GPA plus test scores best predicts college degree attainment — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
contextualized-gpa-stronger-than-contextualized-test-scores |
title |
Contextualized high school GPA had a stronger relationship with college success than contextualized standardized test scores (Bastedo et al., attributed) |
description |
Contextualized high school GPA had a stronger relationship with college success than contextualized standardized test scores (Bastedo et al., attributed) |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2025 |
source_checked |
2026-10-20 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-08 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — key-questions-how-important-are-course-grades-as-predictors-of-students-future-success-2025 |
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