Course grades are more predictive than standardized test scores of high school and college success¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · design r1 · q2
Currency · newest study 2024 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2027: tool and model accuracy changes quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Course grades predict high school and college success better than standardized test scores because they capture a broad range of tasks over time, including habits and skills tests cannot measure. → UChicago Consortium on School Research 2024

Evidence¶

UChicago Consortium on School Research 2024¶

UChicago Consortium on School Research. (2024). Family playbook: How can we understand students' progress in school? Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/events-and-resources

q2 · i? · design · r1

The playbook's research summary, citing grading research (Brookhart et al.) and Consortium work, asserts course grades outpredict standardized tests for long-term success; grades reflect broad, long-period performance including classroom habits predictive of college success.

"Course grades are more predictive than standardized test scores for students' high school and college success."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Course grades and GPA predict high school and college outcomes better than standardized test scores or coursework — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Studies finding grades less predictive often use restricted samples or weighted or self-reported GPAs, which are less accurate — related
• Contextualized high school GPA had a stronger relationship with college success than contextualized standardized test scores (Bastedo et al., attributed) — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Ninth-grade GPA strongly predicts on-time high school graduation, with an especially large gap between F and D students — related
• Attendance and effort, more than test scores or demographics, drive course grades, GPA, course failure, graduation, and college readiness — related
• Prior GPA was the best predictor of students' course grade, whether or not students used courseware. — related
• Ninth-grade GPA predicts college enrollment and one-year college persistence in linear, incremental patterns — related
• The Artifact captures learning experiences within and beyond the classroom, revealing learning habits and mindsets relevant to action-based pedagogy — related
• Composite accountability indicators such as A–F letter grades fail to capture the cognitive and noncognitive competencies of deeper learning and college and career readiness — related