Dropout intentions increased over the school year among 9th-grade students¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2024 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Students' intentions to drop out rose between the beginning, middle and end of the school year. → Grazia 2024

Evidence¶

Grazia 2024¶

Grazia, V., Molinari, L., Mameli, C. (2024). Contrasting school dropout: The protective role of perceived teacher justice. LEARNING AND INSTRUCTION, 89, 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.learninstruc.2023.101826

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Latent growth modeling of the three-wave data from 547 9th graders found "intentions to dropout increased over time" across the school year. No effect size for the growth trend is printed in the supplied text.

"A latent growth model indicated that intentions to dropout increased over time and perceptions of teacher justice had a negative association with the increase both at T2 and T3"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Perceived teacher justice is negatively associated with the growth of students' intentions to drop out over the school year — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• The rise in diploma earning came from declining dropout rates, which fell from 35 to 11 percent, not from declines in other outcomes — related
• Nearly a third of eighth graders retained or sent to Transition Centers in 1997 had dropped out by fall 1999, while overall eighth-grade dropout rates stayed stable — related
• The postpolicy retention effect on dropout was smaller than the prepolicy retention relationship, but its systemwide impact was larger — related
• Retention at the promotion gate increased the likelihood of dropping out by about 8 percentage points by age 17 and 13 points by age 19 — related