Claims

The more underconfident participants are about their memory abilities, the larger their reminder bias, regardless of framing

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causal r3 · q3 · i1 small
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i1 Participants were significantly underconfident about both internal memory (d = 0.21) and reminder accuracy (d = 0.75). → Lea Fröscher 2022

Evidence

Lea Fröscher 2022

Lea Fröscher, Ann‑Kathrin Friedrich, Max Berentelg, Curtis Widmer, Sam J. Gilbert and Frank Papenmeier. (2022). Framing cognitive offloading in terms of gains or losses: achieving a more optimal use of reminders. Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-022-00416-3

q3 · i1 · causal · r3

Experiment 2 one-sample t tests against zero on internal and external metacognitive bias scores showed participants were "significantly underconfident about their memory abilities and their accuracy using reminders" (printed effect size d = 0.21 internal, a small effect; d = 0.75 external). The authors note this replicates the negative relationship found in Gilbert et al. (2020).

"Both the internal, t(299) = − 3.65, p < 0.001, d = 0.21, and external, t(299) = − 12.96, p < 0.001, d = 0.75, metacognitive bias scores were significant"

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id underconfidence-predicts-reminder-bias
title The more underconfident participants are about their memory abilities, the larger their reminder bias, regardless of framing
description The more underconfident participants are about their memory abilities, the larger their reminder bias, regardless of framing
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2022
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-16
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — lea-fröscher-2022

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